Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.036551 0.042364 0.048812 0.056497 0.065410 0.075426 0.087546
2026-01-04 0.027563 0.035201 0.044531 0.056774 0.072440 0.091844 0.117755
2026-01-11 0.022192 0.030510 0.041442 0.056884 0.078183 0.106603 0.147538
2026-01-18 0.018813 0.027474 0.039559 0.057691 0.084293 0.122029 0.179890
2026-01-25 0.016535 0.025434 0.038512 0.059183 0.091171 0.139019 0.216472
2026-02-01 0.013984 0.022520 0.035649 0.057381 0.092637 0.147913 0.241804
2026-02-08 0.012258 0.020582 0.033929 0.056970 0.095999 0.159876 0.273266
2026-02-15 0.010820 0.018879 0.032306 0.056403 0.098879 0.171212 0.304964
2026-02-22 0.009873 0.017859 0.031648 0.057314 0.104277 0.187291 0.346801
2026-03-01 0.008882 0.016616 0.030427 0.057023 0.107427 0.199698 0.383505
2026-03-08 0.007859 0.015175 0.028658 0.055471 0.107992 0.207363 0.412175
2026-03-15 0.006972 0.013873 0.026979 0.053848 0.108161 0.214201 0.439972
2026-03-22 0.006488 0.013308 0.026655 0.054878 0.113765 0.232450 0.493587
2026-03-29 0.005970 0.012609 0.025987 0.055132 0.117840 0.248174 0.544227
2026-04-05 0.005497 0.011941 0.025295 0.055236 0.121593 0.263659 0.596444
2026-04-12 0.005137 0.011466 0.024946 0.056018 0.126888 0.283045 0.659923
2026-04-19 0.004868 0.011156 0.024905 0.057466 0.133832 0.306871 0.736813
2026-04-26 0.004378 0.010287 0.023534 0.055717 0.133213 0.313527 0.774063
2026-05-03 0.004039 0.009725 0.022785 0.055318 0.135713 0.327692 0.831464
2026-05-10 0.003724 0.009181 0.022014 0.054768 0.137764 0.341015 0.888574
2026-05-17 0.003528 0.008902 0.021838 0.055652 0.143478 0.363967 0.973568
2026-05-24 0.003281 0.008466 0.021230 0.055370 0.146184 0.379710 1.041729
2026-05-31 0.002991 0.007885 0.020196 0.053863 0.145501 0.386657 1.087035